AI-Driven Financial Forecasting: Machine Learning Models for Market Prediction
Main Article Content
Abstract
Financial forecasters now have access to more accurate and data-driven market behavior predictions thanks to artificial intelligence (AI). The complexity, volatility, and non-linear patterns that are inherent to financial markets are often too much for traditional forecasting tools to handle. Machine learning models, on the other hand, can sift through mountains of data, both old and new, in search of patterns, outliers, and correlations that can enhance their predicting abilities. Machine learning models, including regression algorithms, decision trees, support vector machines, and deep learning structures, such as neural networks and recurrent models, are the primary tools used in AI-driven financial forecasting. how these models employ a variety of data sources, including past prices, economic indicators, and sentiment research from social media and news, to forecast market patterns, financial risks, and stock prices. data quality, overfitting, model interpretability, and market unpredictability are some of the strengths and limits of AI-based forecasting. Reliable predictions can be achieved through the use of risk management measures, model optimization, and feature selection.
Article Details

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
References
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417.
Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C., & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time series analysis: Forecasting and control. Wiley
Bengio, Y., Goodfellow, I., & Courville, A. (2016). Deep learning. Nature, 521(7553), 436–444. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14539
Fischer, T., & Krauss, C. (2018). Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions. European Journal of Operational Research, 270(2), 654–669. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2017.11.054
Heaton, J. B., Polson, N. G., & Witte, J. H. (2017). Deep learning in finance. Annual Review of Financial Economics, 11, 81–101. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-financial-110217-022933
Atsalakis, G. S., & Valavanis, K. P. (2009). Surveying stock market forecasting techniques—Part II: Soft computing methods. Expert Systems with Applications, 36(3), 5932–5941. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2008.07.006
Patel, J., Shah, S., Thakkar, P., & Kotecha, K. (2015). Predicting stock and stock price index movement using trend deterministic data preparation and machine learning techniques. Expert Systems with Applications, 42(1), 259–268. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2014.07.040
Zhang, G. P. (2003). Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model. Neurocomputing, 50, 159–175. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0925-2312(01)00702-0
Hochreiter, S., & Schmidhuber, J. (1997). Long short-term memory. Neural Computation, 9(8), 1735–1780.
Silver, D., Lever, G., Heess, N., Degris, T., Wierstra, D., & Riedmiller, M. (2014). Deterministic policy gradient algorithms. International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML).
Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting system. In Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference.
Loughran, T., & McDonald, B. (2011). When is a liability not a liability? Textual analysis, dictionaries, and 10-Ks. Journal of Finance, 66(1), 35–65.
Rudin, C. (2019). Stop explaining black box machine learning models for high-stakes decisions and use interpretable models instead. Nature Machine Intelligence, 1(5), 206–215.